Posts Tagged ‘Stock’

The Ups and Downs of the Stock Market

Understanding the nature of the stock market, including its pros and cons, doesn’t have to be confusing one. Many people fear that in order for them to know the nature of the stock market, they have to understand a gamut of stock and marketing terms and all that jazz.

On the other hand, some people saw behind the veneer of all these economic gibberish, and saw the potentials of what they could get from investing in the stock market.

In a nutshell

Simply put, the stock market is the market to buy and sell stocks and shares. This is where company stock gets traded. The term is also used to describe the totality of all stocks in one country. That is why we hear reporters talking that “the stock market was up today” or that “the stock market went down after the dollar fell to the euro.”

What are the pros and cons of the stock market?

One of the reasons why we need the stock market is because it is an important factor for the US economic system to operate. Through the stock market, US companies improve their financial viability and expand their operations by raising funds from selling stocks. Without the stock market, our companies become slower in their growth and might falter in the increasing competition in the US as well as against international companies.

Another reason for the existence of the stock market is that it also has role in personal financial planning. This is because many individuals buy stock shares as part of their personal financial strategies. More importantly, most Americans have a stake in the stock market because retirement programs invest in stocks. It has shown that retirement programs earn a lot more by investing in common stocks than other options such as saving the funds in banks.

Of course, the stock market also has its downsides. Remember that the stock market is not a tool for instant success. True, there are cases of one getting wealthy by investing in the market, but this involves having shares in various company stocks, which means a lot of research, time, and money. One also gets rich when some stocks become “hotter” such as the “dot-com” bubble in the nineties, but when the initial buzz around these stocks falter, the value of these stocks tend to crash.

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Online Penny Stock Specifics

Once you have a general idea of what to do, you need to know exactly how to proceed when buying penny stocks online. 

First of all, choose a reliable website. It is not difficult to buy penny stocks online. Although not a technical necessity, brokers are commonly used and reputable firms will have well-done, easy-to-use websites. If you have never heard the name of a firm you are investigating, be sure to check around. Searches can pull up databases of commonly used sites but make sure to find a list that includes reviews. If these reviews seem too close in style or not varied enough, they may have been planted, so be careful to watch for signs. They may not be legitimate, as is too often the case with so many things in the penny stock world.

When you start penny stock trading online, you’ll be able to buy spare parts for a penny just to the dollar, or in some rare cases, multiple shares for a penny. If this stock is only two cents you just double your investment. Now think about the possibility that even if stock reaches a dollar, two dollars or maybe even three dollars. A few avoid the whole concept of penny stock trading online, but when you are cruising on the highway in your new sports car, who cares, let them flee what they want.

It is difficult not to hope at the beginning of penny stock trading online, you’ll be lucky enough to be on the “next big thing” as it took its way upwards. Sometimes, not all time, but from time to time. However, the statement by the SEC still true that, even if it May be penny stocks, they are like all other types of shares are traded on a daily basis, risky. The SEC also indicated that to maintain good penny stock trading online investment through information and education.

The next step is to create an account and start financing. This gives your broker a budget to work with when selecting stocks as purchases. Banks can transfer money to another bank if necessary, you can make a bank transfer, or if you prefer, you can just use a plain old check. Make sure you use your money for speculative businesses such as this.

Penny stock trading is based on the anticipation and projection, which can be controlled, carefully watching the market and making an accurate analysis. It is not possible for all economic operators to study the market in detail, if they are not dedicated full-time traders. Traders participating in online trading, finding profitable to acquire the services of an online broker who can manage their accounts effectively for small fee. Trading online has the local knowledge and an update on the mood of investors and market movements. Therefore, they can accurately and successfully counsel their clients regarding the best and most profitable investment penny stocks.

If you are using a stockbroker, they will have an online trading site where you can consult with them, pick your stocks, and then enter them into an online form to complete your purchase. This site also allows you to check your stock’s progress as often as you like. You can contact your broker to figure out when to buy and sell.

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Old Stock Collecting Themes – Part II

Most people collect antique stock certificates by type, or theme, to give a common thread to their collection and to add passion to the search for specific certificates (though most of us also “cheat” and collect others just because we like them).

Collecting themes also provides a logical way to organize or display your favorite stock certificates.

The “Part I” article before this one discussed themes of Industry, Geography, Vignette (artwork), Family Relationship (name) and Time Period. Here are some other popular themes:

1.Events, or some portion of one – Examples: Civil War, Confederate Institutions, Volunteer Bounty Bonds, Veterans Organizations

2.Firsts, or among the firsts – Examples: Experimental Aircraft (Custer Channel Wing), Steam Locomotives (Tom Thumb), seminal autos (Willys-Overland Jeep), first electrically wired cities (Cincinnati Edison), current companies over a century old (Wells Fargo)

3.Famous Names, issued to or signed by – Examples: Disney, Remington, Rockefeller, Pabst, Houdini, Rothschild, Chaplin, Buick, Morgan, Ames, Lorillard…

4.Extreme Numbers on the certificate – Examples: Bonds for $1,000,000 or more, stock certificates for more than 10,000 shares or less than 10 shares, company capital of less than $1 million, low registration number (three digits or less)

5.Unissued (the printed date usually has a blank in it, such as 187_) – These are certificates that were never authorized, filled out and given to a share owner. They have usually come from storage and archives of the companies, banks and printers that were involved with the issuance process.

Some people prefer unissued documents because they often are in better condition than “used” certificates. Other collectors prefer issued ones because the names, writing and wear show they were held in people’s hands and used in commerce a century or more ago.

There are literally millions of permutations possible by crossing themes. For example, if your family can be traced to Philadelphia, you might collect issued, canceled (the word is usually spelled with one L, but not always), green certificates that have one or two digit registration numbers with portrait vignettes from the 1800’s.

Or, maybe not. If your family name is Miller, you could just buy Grandpa a “Millerstown Iron Company” stock certificate, have it framed and give it to him for Christmas. Guaranteed, he won’t get duplicates of that gift.

So you can decide on a theme(s), or just browse and absorb and maybe a theme will develop as you learn more about what’s available and what strikes that special cord in you.

If nothing else, you will find fascinating insights into the people and things that made this country.

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The Stock Market February 22, 2009 Sunday Evening The Daily Stock Report

First of all, I wanted to apologize that some of you who just joined this weekend have an issue with
the username and password not allowing access to the Members Area the last two days.  We are
aware of this situation and it should be resolved tomorrow.  In the meantime, you will still receive
emails from us that have links for a video and a text report for The Daily Stock Report.

The stock market is tired but still hasn’t had the extreme sell-off that describes the ideal scenario
we have been looking for last week. We were looking for that capitulation point that last
occurred on November 21, 2008 in all of the indices (the Dow30, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, etc)
which is where an accelerated decline in stock prices, increasing trading volume each day and often
an emotional state that is best described as “near panic conditions,”  immediately followed by an
intense powerful rally.   But that has not happened yet.  If that would have happened this type of
action sets up for powerful rallies upward that can last for a few days to a few weeks.  If a rally really
takes hold, it can last for periods of weeks but that hasn’t been the pattern for some time.   

The Dow30 was down 100 points on Friday with higher than normal trading volume.  It was down
1.34% at the end of the day while the NASDAQ Composite was basically break even.  Since the
Dow30 holds financial stocks that have been taking a beating this week, the Dow has broken below
the November 21, 2008 low.   

Let’s review the main issue that has been driving the stock market last week and will be front and
center the next few days.  As we have been talking about for days, the banking stocks have been
dropping sharply and there is an opportunity to buy these stocks for a likely powerful rebound
(USB, WFC, BAC, C, JPM, and IYF) that may only last for a few days but could give percentage
profits as much as 30-50% from the bottom that appears to have already started on Friday.  See
Video attached to this email on WFC, BAC, C, USB intraday charts.

What is most likely to happen with these banks is it opens up tomorrow morning (Monday, 2-23-
2009), with the financial headlines that started on Friday after the market….. “White House Does NOT
Encourage Bank Nationalization” and tonight’s headline reads something like “Feds may expand Citi
stake.”  Bank of America’s CEO, Ken Lewis states all this weekend that BAC doesn’t need to be
nationalized.   So there is a mix of news that may push and pull on these banking stocks but
the most likely result will be that these banks will head up some more at least the next two
days.  But don’t use this statement as reason to buy blindly tomorrow because it could be very
volatile.  Most of the profit has been missed if you didn’t buy Friday with maybe another day and a
half of upside before we likely see more selling again.

This is a time for banks to fasten your 5 point harness and hang on for the ride.

A Democratic senator, Christopher Dodd was quoted this Friday and this weekend as saying he may
recommend bank nationalization, which would effectively wipe out the common stock holders.   
Remember FNM, Fannie Mae and FRE, Freddie Mac; these two stocks dropped to 16 cents and 37
cents after that announcement so it is logical people sell first, then ask questions later, especially in
this market.
That explains the drop in BAC, Bank of America going from Thursday’s close of about $4 to $2.53 or
a 37% intraday drop and the banks rebounded sharply after the White house denied plan of bank
nationalization at about 1:45pm Eastern time.  (BAC had a high of $7.07 less than 2 weeks ago!)

BAC rebounded back up to over $4 from $2.53 the following 90 minutes or 58%, WFC rebounded
from $9 to $11.40 in 65 minutes or 26%, USB only 11.4%, JPM moved up 10.6%, and C, Citibank,
moved up from $1.61 to $2.31 or over 43% in that following hour.

BAC and C are the two banks that nationalization have been rumored to be discussed.

Why all this discussion about banks, the news, and the timing?   Because this type of news affects
these stocks radically and we already have long positions in them.  These banks are where the high
profit, high probability trades are at this moment– but study the daily charts and intraday charts (also
in video) and learn from this for the next opportunity because it is likely you have missed most of the
profit at this point.

Note the S&P Futures are up substantially tonight with the Dow30 indicating a positive opening over
+120 points.  Hong Kong is up over 3.75% as well and Europe is up about 1.8to 1.9%.  This should
be quite positive for the banking stocks as well as the US market.  No doubt the Fed’s statement of
expanding stake in Citi as well as denial by the White house on bank nationalization is helping the
markets move up.  At this point, the Senate and House is still influenced by the new President as the
Democrats have full control in all three.  If Bush had made the same statements in the same situation
that the White House has on rejecting the bank nationalization talk, the market wouldn’t have listened
because there wasn’t unity between the Bush Administration, Senate and the House.

Moving on, look at the T2108 daily chart on the Worden Brothers daily Chart called the Telechart.  
This shows the percentage of stocks above the 40 day moving average which is currently 13.12%.  
This indicator along with several other are showing a probably move up in stocks but this isn’t
accurate on the exact timing of that move.  Keep watching the VIX-X, CBOE Market Volatility Index.  
Short term pops in this index can often predict probabilities on selling.

Oil prices moved up Friday another 2.2% in addition to the 12% on Thursday.  The move up in oil is
affecting the commodity based stocks such as ag-chemical stocks like MON, MOS, AGU and POT in
addition to the oil stocks themselves.  USO is still acting like a lazy dog by barely moving up today
after oil moved up 2.2.  Consider some of the independent ones like XTO, APA, APC, EOG, COG,
HAL, RIG and many others during this bottoming process in oil prices.

Intermediate Trade Positions:   New ideas
Speculative:  GSS, Golden Star Resources.  Consider going long a very small position.  Gold
should open down tomorrow.  This is a low priced gold mining stock.  Set stop at $1.50.

RIMM, Research in Motion dropped on a lowered earnings forecast by the company.  This stock
dropped from $60 to $38 in 2 weeks.  Worth small long position; buy gradually.

Swing Trades:   New Ideas:  BRKB,  Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares are lower cost to buy at
$2,387 per share.  Worth a share or two long.   

Day Traders/Intraday stock ideas:    REPEAT:  Intraday trading continues to be the most
reliable and profitable trading technique in this market.  Stocks will likely gap up and have
shallow of any drop.  Continue to watch ICE, BLK, CME, POT, MON, MOS, AMZN, AAPL, FSLR,
BIDU, USB, WFC, JPM and any high volume, high volatility stocks.    
NOTES:  The stock market seems very likely to correct to previous or new lows after any
countertrend rally upward.  The rally may last only days before pulling back.  Don’t build a high
percentage of long positions-keep a lot of cash on the sidelines, build small positions.

REPEAT:  Even if the market does what we are forecasting and that is a move upward lasting only a
few days, don’t get lulled into thinking the market is turning into a bull market.  It is very likely it is
what we call a countertrend rally within a bear market.  Meaning, the market is still in a bear market
and has a downward trend but powerful rallies can be seen within that downward trend.  This is what
we are trying to profit from right now with the banking stocks and other sectors.  But prepare to sell
soon and stand aside or look for short sales if market turns over after just a few days up on especially
the banking stocks.

I am still expecting some sort of substantial rally in the stock market sometime this year mostly driven by the massive
stimulus that has already been poured into the system plus the planned stimulus package being proposed now.  Longer
term though, in a couple years down the road, no doubt the taxpayer is going to have to pay for such the high debt
amounts that the US government (and other countries) have taken on.   So tax rates probably will rise in coming years,
interest rates will very likely have to rise as inflation surfaces and likely the bear market resumes sometime down the
road.  But we don’t have to be stuck in a miserable cycle like most investors.  With the techniques and approach to the
market, we will still thrive.

If you have been uncomfortable shorting stocks, which most people are, learn to get used to it, this will be a useful tool in
the coming years.

When I list several stocks from the same sector, like the housing industry for example, don’t short all of them unless you
are well diversified and it represents a small percentage of your total stock account (in that same account).

Thoughts:  Best odds only, be decisive, aggressive, mentall
longer to buy and wait a little longer to sell.  You will find that
see, not what you hope for.  Intermediate trades are really
Don’t trade unless the setup is there for you, then use the ch
force anything to work for you, let the setups develop and the
without letting any intraday trade represent no more than 10
your position size percentage should get smaller and smalle

Have a great day and I’ll talk to you tomorrow.   

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Stock Certificate Collecting Themes – II

Most people collect antique stock certificates by type, or theme, to give a common thread to their collection and to add passion to the search for specific certificates (though most of us also “cheat” and collect others just because we like them). Collecting themes also provides a logical way to organize or display your favorite stock certificates.

The “Part I” article before this one discussed themes of Industry, Geography, Vignette (artwork), Family Relationship (name) and Time Period.  Here are some other popular themes:

1. Events, or some portion of one –
Examples:  Civil War, Confederate Institutions, Volunteer Bounty Bonds, Veterans Organizations

2. Firsts, or among the firsts –
Examples:  Experimental Aircraft (Custer Channel Wing), Steam Locomotives (Tom Thumb), seminal autos (Willys-Overland Jeep), first electrically wired cities (Cincinnati Edison), current companies over a century old (Wells Fargo)

3. Famous Names, issued to or signed by –
Examples:  Rockefeller, Disney, Remington, Pabst, Houdini, Rothschild, Chaplin, Buick, Morgan, Ames, Lorillard…

4. Extreme Numbers on the certificate –
Examples:  Bonds for $1,000,000 or more, stock certificates for more than 10,000 shares or less than 10 shares, company capital of less than $1 million, low registration number (three digits or less)

5. Unissued (the printed date usually has a blank in it, such as 187_) –
These are certificates that were never authorized, filled out and given to a share owner.  They have usually come from storage and archives of the companies, banks and printers that were involved with the issuance process.

Some people prefer unissued documents because they often are in better condition than “used” certificates.  Other collectors prefer issued ones because the names, writing and wear show they were held in people’s hands and used in commerce a century or more ago.

There are literally millions of permutations possible by crossing themes.  For example, if your family can be traced to Philadelphia, you might collect issued, canceled (the word is usually spelled with one L, but not always), green certificates that have one or two digit registration numbers with portrait vignettes from the 1800’s.

Or, maybe not.  If your family name is Miller, you could just buy Grandpa a “Millerstown Iron Company” stock certificate, have it framed and give it to him for Christmas.  Guaranteed, he won’t get duplicates of that gift.

So you can decide on a theme(s), or just browse and absorb and maybe a theme will develop as you learn more about what’s available and what strikes that special cord in you.  If nothing else, you will find fascinating insights into the people and things that made this country.

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Stock Markets are Not Democratic

The stock market is not democratic. Changes in the stock market, far from being an honest representation of the state of the nation’s economy, are nothing more than a barometer for the wealthy, educated elite whose fortunes are tied to Wall Street’s performance, while the great majority of the population become spectators in increasing numbers with every advance or decline. Psychology, technology, education and social status all have become barriers preventing the equitable distribution of the gifts of regulated equities, and worse, perpetuate the imbalance by their very nature.

In the stock market, the rich get richer while the rest…just think they do.

There is an unspoken myth that participation in the stock market is wide and deep in America, and that its fortunes are egalitarian – truly a democracy open to all, and with an even shot at bonanza. In a sense, Wall Street has come to define America, and the equality of opportunity it represents. No matter how humble of station, the American dream is available through prudent investment in the stock market over the long term.

The mainstream media in the United States supports this supposition, the rise of business and investment shows, finance segments in news broadcasts, and daily headlines covering every joyous or threatening tilt in the great pinball machine. Finance news has become a growth industry, predicated as it is on the increasing desire of wider groups of viewers for immediate and insightful news and analysis. On the web, sex is still king, with finance porn coming up behind. A noun, a verb, and a stock symbol will get your blog readers almost as fast as a scantily clad avatar.

Only a third of Americans participate in the stock market through the ownership of stocks in one way or another. While that’s a lot of people, it certainly is not the strong majority that a democracy assumes. Still, changes in stock market performance do affect thirty-five percent of the population directly. However the math suggests that the best such a wide group can do in a pseudo zero sum game is to track the changes, their returns never being anything better than average.

Real increases in wealth occur in smaller, segmented sections of the stock buying population as a whole. Owning stocks alone is no guarantee of success.

For most of the stock owning public, stock ownership arrives through the back door, in market products that pool resources like mutual funds, or in market incentives like retirement tax breaks that accompany the buying of stocks in the way 401(k) plans do. People invest for the tax break, and consider the risk small or non-existent that their equity investments in stocks will melt away. They are not stock market investors as much as they are tax break investors.

In terms of risk ownership – where higher risks mean greater potential rewards – the vast amount of stock holding Americans have insulated themselves from the great rewards of stock ownership, by falsely believing their low risk, widely spread holdings will return more than low, widely spread rewards. For people who own mutual funds, automated 401(k) plans, or received stock in the company they work for, the nature and motivation of their investment condemns them to the law of averages, existing always on the fat part of the curve. They will never beat the market, as they are the market.

And while most consider the rapid, inexorable advance of the value of the Dow an important way to have their investments participate in the great game of easy wealth creation, that too is an illusion. Despite its impressive scorecard, the stock market has only averaged a real rate of return of about 4% over the long term, once adjusted for inflation. Hardly the get rich quick – or slow – scheme many believe.

Direct stock market participation is the only way to get out from under the curve, and have any realistic shot at beating inflation and adding real, sports car buying, holiday taking, coke snorting “wealth”.

Pulling together the money, reading a bit about what you are doing, tracking down a broker, and selecting from thousands of stocks to individually purchase in minimum board lots is not something Americans do in any great, relative number. According to the Federal Reserve Board “Survey of Consumer Finances”, only about 18% of stock market participation is done in this fashion. Less than one in five Americans has taken the opportunity to work the American dream directly, and pit their guts and faith against the odds.

Certainly, the advances in online technology over the last decade have made stock market participation wider, what with the profusion of discount brokers and do it yourself, on line stock trading. Wall Street For Dummies. Yet, direct participation in the market has only progressed not much beyond the 18% of 2007, from the 13% of 1991. It has never been easier to buy stocks, and with two major booms, so few people availed themselves the chance to ride the big one. Clearly, the stock market does not represent America, where 80% of the population is not participating directly in the fortunes of the corporate assets of the country, and are not a participating part of a fundamental of free market capitalism.

Contemporary culture is slathered in headlines of Wall Street, the DOW, and NASAQ, giving the impression of a country deeply wired to the fortunes of the market across all demographic spectrums. Stock market participation analysis however, clearly identifies serious barriers to entry that make Wall Street a decidedly closed, club.

A closed club of rich, educated men in high status occupations.

Wealth (like male pattern baldness), is inherited. If you are clever enough to be born to rich, beautiful parents, odds are you are clever enough to have your own kids repeat the trick. Progeny of wealthy households inherit much more than trust accounts. The basic knowledge and principles of the responsibility for all that family capital comes with the suitcase. Other folks, who lack both the capital and the joie de vive, make their first market acquisition from a decidedly disadvantaged place. In a very undemocratic fashion, a major barrier to entry appears to be to whom you were born.

The Federal Reserve Board Survey of Consumer Finances also reveals it’s better to be born a male. Men dominate the world of finance, and women have a long way to go, as you are more than twice as likely to be a man if you invest directly in the stock market.

Education also forms a barrier, as there is a direct correlation between rates of stock market participation and levels of schooling. Not surprisingly, the world of finance being a complex and disciplined world, better-educated Americans are over represented in the markets. Thirty five per cent of College graduate households owned stocks, more than all other classes combined. Easy access to transparent information is a necessary part of an informed market decision, and college grads it appears, know how to find it.

Another trait shared amongst the wealthy, smart and male is high status occupations. It turns out very few wealthy, well-educated men work in the bowels of fast food, and very few shopping cart handlers invest in stocks to any degree. While no studies exist to support this kind of detail, one imagines the most popular job description amongst stock market participants is “VP of something”.

Just being in the market carries a value added social cache on the greens or at dinner parties, and knowing the lingo is a secret hand shake of sorts on long, transatlantic flights in first class; “Our people are telling me I have to shift more trust liability into higher leveraged, off shore asset classes. Who do you like in Singapore?” If, on the other hand, the big guy in the center seat keeps saying “I gotta go to the can” all through the flight to St. Pete’s, odds are you are not in the markets.

In the end, stocks carry a degree of risk that most Americans prefer to avoid. The greater the degree of risk assumed, the greater the amount of the reward. In this fashion, not just stock market participation, but market profitability are tied to degrees of risk. Those willing and able to shoulder greater risk tend to consolidate and get wealthier, and at rates beyond those whose risk tolerance is just not up to it.

Economic Sociology tells us that both economic disposition and social strata are indicators of higher risk tolerance, and thus are rewarded more regularly with outsized cheques. In essence, stinking rich folks can afford to take it in the teeth occasionally, however embarrassing that may be. Risk takes on another order of magnitude when the difference in a loss is between the polite tut tut’s at the club, and living in your minivan with the family. The opportunity to participate in risk is limited by the objective magnitude of failure.

Behavioural Finance suggests that risk tolerance is also governed by human foibles. Most small investors understand that the markets are a game fixed in favour of the goliath and well connected. This keeps market participation to only the foolhardy, or as researchers have come to know them, gamblers. Gambling requires a certain set of unfortunate human traits; a taste for un-rational risk, and the sad affliction to always overestimate ability and profits, while to simultaneously ignore or rationalize away the losses. Finance is another sport where testosterone plays a deciding role. It’s a male thing.

Entry to Wall Street is barred to those without high levels of economic and social capital. The size and influence of that capital dictates the amount of risk aversion, and acts as a limiter on the opportunity to consolidate great wealth from the markets. In this way, free markets, capitalism, and liberal economics have fashioned a system of wealth and power that is increasingly oligarchic, self perpetuating, and completely undemocratic.

The staggering bull market just ended only served to speed up the process, as boom markets favour those who can push the limits of risk with mountains of capital. The limits of risk apparently being highly leveraged in a head scratching soup of acronyms, with absolutely no idea of what will happen if for once, you were wrong.

The brutal market collapse and general maelstrom of economic disarray in late 2008 laid bare the inequities of free market equity investing. The greater part of America that invested in the markets had their hopes and dreams shattered, and their ability to spend cauterized. That spelled job loss and eviction for the four fifths of the country that was living beyond their means, trying to keep up with a dream they were silently denied entry to, and dependent on the largess of the market investors seemingly endless disposable income.

For those who had the opportunity to take the biggest risks, and for whom those successive risks had ensured survival in an ever-decreasing club of consolidated wealth and power… they all took “haircuts”. For this elite class of investor, boom and bust did little more than jiggle about very big numbers on streams of personal financial statements. If you found you had to sell the home in the Hamptons in the worst real estate market in history, you were not in this class.

Far from spreading wealth, boom markets concentrate gain, and solidify ownership of America’s real power elite. In a crash, the process is the same but brutal, when those without the resources to stay the course and take real risk on recovery are shut out, or worse, lose all faith in the value of risk and the hopelessness of the Wall Street game.

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rises, who does it benefit? Those with investments in the stock market, who have the social standing and resources to accept the risks that reward so few. The great balance of traders – small, individual traders alone or in groups – can seldom do any better than average – and average barely keeps ahead of inflation. For the two thirds of Americans not in the markets at all, it hardly matters a whiff.

There is nothing democratic about “the markets”.

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Stock Market Heading for Another Down Fall

After showing impressive couple of days of rally stock market is globally showing broad base weakness today. Yesterdays split finish in US markets resulted in lot of nervousness in Asian and European market.


Global markets are in firm downturn. Globally Banks are worst hit and most volatile sector followed by allied financial and investment sector. Due to reduced consumer spending white goods sector is also taking good hit with home builders and real estate developers.


Indian stock market also reacted to global cue and NSE ended down by 1% . Except Nifty Junior which raised by 1% all other sectors were in red. ICICI bank was again badly hit and closed down by 4.17%. Other major looser were Bharti airtel and DLF which both ended up shedding 3.75 and 3.07% respectively.


Major gainers were Tatasteel, HDFC and ITC but they also closed significantly lower than day?s highs. We recommend shorting banking stocks and manufacturing to benefit from tomorrows expected fall. It is advised to keep bets small as market is near support levels which may result in some degree of choppiness.

On global commodity front Gold has nearly recovered half of its 10% fall since last week and trading at $949.6 per ounce. We release a buy recommendation on Gold on Monday so our subscribers have gained 5% in two days!! Today we have recommended half sell to book partial profits. In our view gold will again touch its last week?s low or start another leg down creating golden opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate.


Silver is another big feather in our hat as we recommended buy at $17.11 and it?s currently trading at $18.40 per ounce a healthy gain of 7.5% in 2 days. Silver fell by 22% last week after making double top around $21.40 per ounce. According to our analysis silver has brilliant appreciation potential and one year target of $40 per ounce. Silver is heavily used industrial precious metal and slowly and steadily its gaining popularity as preferred jewelry metal due to very high price of Gold.


Investors which are not actively trading this is very good time to start investing in mutual funds. It is prudent to make equal combination of high yield fund and growth funds. It is preferred that investor be operating its own demat account and may use any linked broker to execute their own buy and sell decisions. We have came across the investors who try to trade Mutual Funds like stocks and end not making any profits as they shed out entry and exit load each time they switch.

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Reduce Stock Investment Risks

Investors, Drive Down Wall Street with Care!

With all the hullabaloo about speculation, an amateur investor may naturally assume that Wall Street is strictly for gamblers. This is a great pity, because probably a long-term investor can get better results in the stock market than elsewhere, provided he follows a few fairly simple rules. Also, it would help in the public understanding of how free enterprise, and especially big business, is owned, if more of our non-gambling citizens participated in owning corporate stocks.

Get Best Penny Stock Pick Program to help you to make profit!

Let us compare stockholders with motor-vehicle drivers. Every year automobiles, trucks, and their drivers cause a fantastic number of deaths and personal injuries, not to mention property damage. The great majority of drivers are careful at least nearly all of the time! Most accidents are caused by a comparatively small number of careless and reckless drivers. A cautious citizen, knowing that he or his family may be the victims of the next accident, could conceivably protect himself by refusing to use motor highways. But the trouble is that motor vehicles save us so much time and energy, and give us so much pleasure when used sanely, that we know their good qualities far outweigh the bad. So we continue to drive, and to hope that the wild drivers will behave, while in our vicinity! In Wall Street, the speculators, in spite of the commotion they raise, are only part of the community, the same as the reckless drivers on the highways. And in contrast to the highway problem, a cautious amateur can invest in such a manner that he runs low risk of having his finances wrecked by the gambler mindset.

Traditionally, being an equity owner of business involves serious risk, sometimes complete failure. An investor, knowing the instances of bad results in small business ventures, may assume that in buying corporate stock he must expect to run somewhat comparable risks, and so he makes no attempt to learn how to reduce the danger. Apparently a great many shareholders have attitudes more or less like this. They may not want to gamble, but they don’t bother even to inquire how Wall Street investment risks could be lowered. A serious market investor, wanting to avoid gambling in stock investments, must do some serious investing thoughts. The 8 main ideas for reducing the risks are mentioned below:

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1. Avoid Investment Egotism. Realizing that there are several million stockholders in this country, admit to yourself that probably quite a lot of these people are just as smart as you are. Be satisfied with results a little better than average. Don’t let your ego runs for 50% if the market average is performing 25%.

2. Avoid Prophets, especially the positive ones. The stock market reflects events and rumors from all over the world, and no man or any group of men can be sure of what is going to happen, or when. Some prophets are paid to write for some companies. They do not always deliver genuine opinion. I would refer to their comments and analysis, but rely on your judgment of market sentiment and stock fundamentals for investing decision.

3. Don’t Borrow on Stock. Market price might drop and wipe you out. You do not want excessive interests to incur, and in the worst case, you do not want a lender’s call back that affects your key assets like home or business ownerships. Maintenance of your personal and family’s stability is a priority over stock investment.

4. Diversify your Stock Portfolio. Don’t put all of your capital into one investment, or into just one type. Put part of your savings into common stock, the other part into fixed-price items cashable at any time, to preserve the dollar value. Own stocks in a good number of companies. The larger the number, the better the chance of getting average results. And for real diversification, the companies should be in several different industries. For instance, pick a steel manufacturer, an oil refiner, an electric-power company, an electronics manufacturer, an IT firm, a department-store chain, and so on.

5. Check stock Marketability. Before you buy, make sure that you can sell or redeem it easily and promptly. Stocks of big blue-chip corporations like Microsoft, GE, Google are more liquid and hence easier to be transacted in the market.

6. Choose Skilled Management team. Find out how to pick a stock with great management level of proven competence. Warren Buffett investigates into a company’s leadership, credibility in its past performance delivery and the management’s capability to propel further growth.

7. Time your Buying and Selling. Adopt rules on timing of your buying and selling stock. The time of action is a major risk in owning stock. After you buy, maybe the price drops; and after you sell, perhaps the price rises. Maintain a standard ratio between the current market value of your stock and your reserve. Also, buy and sell stock only in small installments, never moving a large portion of your capital within a short time. By spreading installments over many months, you obtain a fair average price per share. Patience has a big factor in success of stock investments. If you could sit and wait for the correction times to buy quality stocks, you are on your way to success!

8. Review periodically. Don’t put stock away and forget it. At regular intervals, as for example after the close of each week, check back to see how well your stock has performed during the past few weeks or months in comparison to other stocks you might buy.

Can you afford Investment Risks? Drive Carefully! A reader’s reaction to these ways of reducing risk may be: “Those are nice ideas, provided a man has considerable capital, but they are impractical with only small savings. A broker’s charge is a high percentage on a small transaction, so a little investor cannot afford to make a large number of small purchases and sales. Also, the fee for first-class advice is too high for an ordinary investor to pay.” This reader’s complaint is valid, provided he insists on owning stock in the customary old way-that is, being a direct owner of stock in corporations engaged in manufacturing, mining, transportation, retailing, and so on. But the mutual funds, the open-end type of investment companies, make it quite practical for a man with only small savings to use every one of the ideas listed above for lowering the risk of owning stock. An investor learns and matures through time. I urge you to take the above 8 ideas, study deeper into them for applications. Risk avoiding tips given here need to be internalized before positive results could happen. I wish you well in your stock investment venture!

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Avoiding Stock Market Scams

With all the prices going high these days, people would instantly grab the opportunity on anything that will make them earn money. And this is basically where fraudulent people take advantage of.

Today, there are many scams as there are starts in the sky. They had been so rampant that people became so aware of its alarming condition. But still, even if they know that there is a bound to be a scam out there, they could not yet distinguish what is a scam and how can they avoid it.

In the industry, one of the proliferating scams is the stock market scams. A lot of people are getting enticed to join these simply because their offer seems so hard to resist.

Why? Because who wouldn’t resist a “get rich quick” strategy? These are just petty things but are actually bigger problems than what you thought it is.

For people to know what stock market scams are and how to avoid them, here’s a list of the common stock market scam lurking mostly in the Internet today:

1. The “Pump and Dump” stock market scam

This type of stock market scam is mostly disseminated in the Internet. Here, people usually get to see messages posted in the Internet advocating them to purchase a stock at once. This type of scam also urges those who have stocks already to sell their stocks immediately before the value depreciates.

These deceptive scammers claim that they have reliable sources about a threatening development. They even assert that they utilize a foolproof combination of the stock market and the trade and industry data so as to get some stocks.

The bottom line is that this type of stock market scam is detrimental especially to those who are starting small. In reality, people behind this scam would want to manipulate the stock market through small time businesses because small businesses are easier for them to manipulate.

2. Pyramid scam

Just like its motherboard, this pyramid scam in the Net tries to hoard money from the consumers by letting them invest their little amount of money and grow it really big provided that they recruit more people into the company.

These two are the most common stock market scams lurking in the Internet today, and the only way to avoid them is information. It’s a must that people should be aware of them, know their styles, and how they recruit people. If in case, they cannot determine if it is a scam or not, they should verify the claims from the right people. That’s the simplest thing to do.

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How to Make $1,000,000 From Stock Market – 5 Tips From Successful Investor

Formulate Specific Goals

You must have heard this many times before but have you done it yourself? In many cases I find most beginners unable to design specific investment goals. “Want to be Rich in 3 Years” is not good enough. You must specify how much money you need, what kind of return you expect and how long you can wait.

Bottom-line, you must have goals that are specific, measurable, attainable, realistic and timely. Otherwise, you’ll easily lose sight along the way.

Analyze Your Risk Tolerance

If you think that nobody understands yourself than you do, think again. More importantly, people tend to be emotional than realistic when it comes to money. That is why you can easily notice significant price volatility in stock market as a result of human’s feeling of over-pessimistic or over-optimistic.

There is nothing wrong with your emotional feeling. What matter is how you can control your emotion should anything happen. You can do this by first objectively evaluate your risk tolerance through various questionnaires. Compile all of the results and summarize what is your investing personality.

Identify the Best Strategy

Once you’d discovered your own investing preferences, start digging which investing strategies suit your personality. Stock investing strategy that suits my personality might not be working very well for you. Thus, it is your job (and not your financial advisor) to look for those investment strategies; namely short-selling, swing trading and momentum investing.

At this point of time, you need to do a lot of research. You might have to spend hundreds or even thousands of dollars buying books and hours of reading them. If you think it is a waste of money, probably investing is something you should consider outsourcing straightaway. Even then, you still need to know where your money will be invested.

Develop Long Term Plan

By now you should have definite idea on how to invest your money. At least, you must be aware of various financial instruments, stock investing strategies and how all of them are related one to another. Only then you can develop effective long term stock investing plan.

Let’s start with elements that you should include in your definitive long term plan.

First of all, you must have deep thought on the asset allocation strategy. Secondly, finalize which strategies you intend to pursue. Last but not least, prepare enough cash for emergency funding should significant opportunity arise. I personally prefer 40 to 60 per cent for long term stock investing, 20 to 35 per cent for momentum investing and 10 to 15 per cent for some speculative trading.

There is no right and wrong decision here. As long as it fits your investing personality, you should be fine.

Follow the Plan and Track Progress

Above all, you must implement what you should have planned before. Otherwise, you are putting your efforts to waste. And most importantly, track how your investment performs at least on half-yearly basis. From the performance review, you may (or may not) want to re-strategise your stock investment portfolio accordingly.

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